Download A Primer for Unit Root Testing by K. Patterson PDF

By K. Patterson

This publication provides an authoritative evaluation of the literature on non-stationarity, integration and unit roots, supplying path and information. It additionally offers designated examples to teach how the concepts will be utilized in functional events and the pitfalls to avoid.

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A Primer for Unit Root Testing

This ebook supplies an authoritative evaluate of the literature on non-stationarity, integration and unit roots, offering path and assistance. It additionally presents particular examples to teach how the concepts may be utilized in functional events and the pitfalls to prevent.

Extra info for A Primer for Unit Root Testing

Sample text

For this reason, some authors emphasise this point by referring to the global independence of events for random variables. 40) should be interpreted. 41) where P(x2 ∩ x1) is shorthand for the probability that the joint event x2 and x1 occurs. Under independence P(x2 | x1) = P(x2) ⇒ P(x2 ∩ x1) = P(x2) P(x1). 2). 42) does not require this condition. The conditional expectation of x2 given x1 follows using the conditional probabilities, but note that there is one expectation for each outcome value of x1.

The simplest case to start with is that random variables are independent. The idea of stochastic independence of random variables captures the intuitive notion that the outcome of the random variable x1 does not affect the outcome of the random variable x 2, for all possible outcomes of x1 and x 2. It is thus rather more than just that two events are independent, but that any pairwise comparison of events that could occur for each of the random variables, leads to independence. 1 illustrates what is meant for a simple case.

Of course the equality follows trivially for independent random variables, but remember this is just a special case of the general result: E[E(x2 | x1)] = E(x2). Other moments, such as the variance, can be conditioned on events in the space of the random variables. 47) It is also of note that whilst the independence of x1 and x2 implies that their covariance is zero, the reverse implication does not hold unless x1 and x2 are normally distributed. 3. 6: The coin-tossing experiment with n = 2 Consider the coin-tossing experiment with n = 2, with random variables {xj}2j=1, where the outcome on the j-th toss is mapped into (+1, –1).

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